Thursday, August 21, 2014

Vietnam’s Dilemma Of Relationship With The U.S.

Recently, they notice that the United States seems enhance a relationship with Hanoi’s government since then diplomatic linking of the both, between the United States and Vietnam in 1995 that they used to be mutual acrimonious and deadly enemies in a period of the cold war. They are now making a big step move forward, which focused on economy, military and Civil Nuclear.

Inside the U.S. view—Vietnam is the mainstay for its strategy in the Southeast Asia region, particularly to contain the rising of Chinese influences which is consistent with the Obama’s administration aiming at this region target. As of Vietnam has a concern over the Chinese military and aggression for example the concern which is related to the China’s South sea issue. Vietnam therefore desperately needs to have U.S. presence in Asia in order to ensure a balance influence against China. In such context, both Vietnam and U.S. entirely eye on their respective benefits, even they have stance on relationship enhancement image.

Furthermore, the critics had revealed that the government of Vietnam and U.S. entirely have expressed their same stances so that to protest China over the South sea activities deployment. Though, Vietnam still hesitates to capture relationship with U.S. to against China. One group of Vietnam has an extreme move to against China. Therefore it seeks for a backup of the U.S. and among other countries in the region meanwhile another group has pessimism on relationship with the U.S. due to they are afraid that U.S. might ask for Vietnam to reform politics and human rights in line with democracy on which Vietnam must beholden to U.S. request over time. Besides, U.S. also ask for Vietnam to have the joint military maneuvers on behalf of its ally.

Yet, the Vietnamese group has a deep concern that it would deteriorate the status of facing between China and Vietnam may reach to an armed conflict. Sometimes, China may also slam sanction on Vietnam.

It is literally apparent that the members of Vietnamese government are afraid of China and hate China but they still do not trust in U.S backup as well.

Monday, May 19, 2014

Conflicts between China and Vietnam to Increase Pressure over Cambodia

Both internal conflicts of Thailand and China’s islands have made Cambodia in a dire straits. For example Thailand did not uphold to the ICJ’s judgment or verdict on the Preah Vihear temple border issue due to Thai internal conflict in 2013. And a series of border fire-exchange contentious skirmishes in the wake of Thailand’s boiling up of tension.

Amid the Thailand prolonged-conflicts there are new other conflicts which has been arising---conflicts between China and Vietnam simmer. These regional conflicts will affect to Cambodia inevitably. Vietnam is the neighboring and amicable country to Cambodia. As of China is the best friend who shore up economic businesses investment and donate millions of dollars to Cambodia too.

In a fashion of diplomatic politics and relation, Cambodia is very difficult to stay neutrally---neither favor to China nor Vietnam. Regional diplomatic relationship has been affecting to Cambodia including since Chinese evacuees entered into Cambodia from Vietnam then Chinese government asked for Cambodian government to send them back to China. Meanwhile, Vietnamese who are staying in Cambodia may go on strike against China in Cambodia as well. Cambodia is very hard to hesitate for making any decision because of both China and Vietnam are entirely making great benefits [but not for sake of human rights and democracy] to Cambodia.

If Cambodia is so smart and being strong enough of economics. It may take advantages from these regional conflicts. In contrast, Cambodia is so weak in economics and has been rattling by internal chronicle disharmony so it will be negatively affected by conflicts of the both countries. Phnom Penh government used to be beleaguered and had a stigma by bogging down the joint statement issuance of the ASEAN’s summit while it was the rotating head of the ASEAN association. Yet, Phnom Penh government used to notorious of transferring the ethnic minority back beholden to China’s request last time.

At the moment there is a new political pressure trace onto Cambodia again, while China and Vietnam are confronting on the islands issues. Cambodia is facing the pressing challenges of political pressure crisis from China and Vietnam as it could not yet resolve internal political election deadlock since 2013, whether Cambodia pro-China or pro-Vietnam. The single-party government of Phnom Penh is trapped in such tense crisis until cost much of resources to survive and secure its national and international politics. However, the opponent has been trying to struggle to defend the people’s will of national election result almost exhausted too.

In the wake of such standoff straits were shown to be coeval of the regional tension which adds more pressure to Cambodia in term of internal existing political deadlock. In this context, Cambodia must immediately deal with the internal issues in order to brace for impacts from the both countries’ conflicts. That is the best way and stay in neutrality position.